Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.219291 0.253376 0.290831 0.335019 0.385704 0.442005 0.509272
2024-10-20 0.168597 0.213477 0.267251 0.336335 0.422653 0.526867 0.662185
2024-10-27 0.127172 0.175214 0.237544 0.324123 0.441068 0.593344 0.806510
2024-11-03 0.104362 0.155470 0.226824 0.333309 0.487771 0.703223 1.026125
2024-11-10 0.087524 0.140220 0.218975 0.344571 0.539120 0.828170 1.289268
2024-11-17 0.071620 0.122870 0.204521 0.343083 0.571264 0.930749 1.538325
2024-11-24 0.059077 0.108087 0.190989 0.340084 0.600015 1.032407 1.803350
2024-12-01 0.049531 0.096275 0.179918 0.338747 0.630771 1.141737 2.099096
2024-12-08 0.042269 0.086986 0.171348 0.339921 0.665665 1.263144 2.435456
2024-12-15 0.037174 0.080720 0.167053 0.348004 0.714278 1.416231 2.853836
2024-12-22 0.031933 0.073023 0.158472 0.345968 0.742734 1.535643 3.227193
2024-12-29 0.028503 0.068436 0.155286 0.354222 0.793049 1.704937 3.725647
2025-01-05 0.024398 0.061558 0.146147 0.348530 0.814108 1.820451 4.137429
2025-01-12 0.021720 0.057456 0.142407 0.354235 0.861314 1.998907 4.714277
2025-01-19 0.018500 0.051304 0.132725 0.344271 0.871047 2.097139 5.129903
2025-01-26 0.016926 0.049049 0.132040 0.356042 0.934557 2.327595 5.888281
2025-02-02 0.015609 0.047192 0.132007 0.369485 1.004668 2.584760 6.752424
2025-02-09 0.013848 0.043687 0.126975 0.368869 1.038816 2.760152 7.444014
2025-02-16 0.012256 0.040305 0.121607 0.366312 1.067424 2.926271 8.139372
2025-02-23 0.010930 0.037429 0.117101 0.365326 1.100216 3.108500 8.906884
2025-03-02 0.009852 0.035085 0.113688 0.366897 1.140615 3.317522 9.780948
2025-03-09 0.009101 0.033650 0.112753 0.375816 1.204194 3.600313 10.905827
2025-03-16 0.008158 0.031324 0.108560 0.373768 1.234495 3.794195 11.808324